Context on the Tariff Ruling

Neil Gendreau |
Categories

If you scrolled through your news feed recently, the headlines felt loud. Stocks dropped. Gold soared. Tariffs were struck down, reinstated under a different authority, then increased again. It felt abrupt. It felt messy.¹

And if you felt unsettled watching it unfold, that reaction makes sense. It was messy. But before we jump to conclusions, let’s step back and look at what actually happened.

Over the past year, the administration made tariffs a central pillar of its trade strategy.² Broad levies were placed on imported goods under emergency powers authority. The goal was to pressure trading partners and reshape supply chains. Businesses adjusted. Markets adapted. Investors began treating that framework as the new normal.

But the Supreme Court effectively struck down much of that framework. Their ruling said that President Trump did not have the authority to impose certain tariffs under the emergency powers law it had relied on.³

In response, the administration introduced a new 10% global tariff under a different legal authority. Shortly after, that rate was raised to 15%, structured as a temporary measure that can remain in place for up to 150 days without congressional approval.⁴ In other words, in the span of a weekend, the legal foundation for existing tariffs changed, a new structure replaced it, and the scope shifted again.

And investors react quickly when policy shifts quickly. The Dow plunged. The NASDAQ tanked. And traders scurried into traditional safe havens like bonds and gold.⁵

So what has this market so worried? That kind of rapid adjustment is significant. Not simply because of the tariff rates themselves, but because the underlying rules changed quickly. For months, investors had largely adjusted to the existing tariff framework. Businesses had built pricing models, supply chains, and investment decisions around those assumptions.

Expectations had settled. Now all of those assumptions must be thrown out the window. Will new tariffs be introduced? What rate do we have to pay? Will other countries throw out old trade deals? Nobody knows. The honest answer is that clarity is still emerging.

Businesses don’t require perfect clarity. They do, however, require a working assumption about the rules. If you’re going to build a new factory or import inventory from overseas, you want some certainty about how much you’ll have to pay. Executives may accept high- or low-tariff rates. But when their costs can swing wildly from week to week, they often pause and wait for clarity.

Think of it like a football game. As long as the boundaries are clear, teams can compete aggressively and confidently. But throw out a soccer ball and redraw the lines on the field mid-game, even strong teams pause. Not because they forgot how to play, but because they need to reassess conditions. That reassessment is what we are seeing now. And when those assumptions shift, it shows up as volatility. It doesn’t necessarily mean the long-term earning power of strong businesses has suddenly changed. But it does mean the short-term path has become less predictable. And markets respond quickly when predictability fades.

So how do we respond?

All of this can feel unsettling in the moment. When markets react sharply, it’s natural to wonder whether something fundamental has changed. It’s also natural to feel the urge to act. But this is exactly the kind of environment long-term investment strategies are built to navigate. Here’s what matters most…

1. Zoom out. Short-term moves, even sharp ones, are part of long-term investing. A one or two percent daily decline feels dramatic because it is attached to headlines. Historically, it has been shown to fall within normal market behavior.⁶
2. Come back to your plan. An intentional portfolio is typically built with the expectation that markets experience stress. Diversification across sectors and asset classes is taken into consideration. Different areas of the market respond differently. That balance exists for moments like this.
3. Avoid emotional decisions. Making sudden changes during a volatile week can increase risk rather than reduce it. Market recoveries often happen quickly and without clear signals. Staying disciplined helps keep decisions aligned with long-term goals instead of short-term noise.

Trade policy may continue to evolve. Political headlines will continue. Markets will continue processing new information in real time. What has not changed is your long-term strategy. Long-term investing has historically involved accepting variability in pursuit of growth. Volatility is part of that process. It’s uncomfortable, but it’s not unusual. This week felt dramatic. Your financial plan should not.


Sources

  1. CNBC, 2026 [URL: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/02/22/stock-market-today-live-updates.html]
  2. The Associated Press, 2025 [URL: https://apnews.com/article/trump-tariffs-economy-liberation-day-d3458da225c1fdfade97ed494b23e868]
  3. CNN, 2026 [URL: https://www.cnn.com/2026/02/20/politics/supreme-court-tariffs]
  4. CTV, 2026 [URL: https://www.ctvnews.ca/world/trumps-tariffs/article/trump-says-hell-raise-tariffs-to-15-per-cent-after-us-supreme-court-ruling/]
  5. PBS News, 2026 [URL: https://www.pbs.org/newshour/economy/stocks-drop-after-trump-ramps-up-new-tariffs-and-investors-dump-potential-ai-losers]
  6. J.P. Morgan Asset Management, 2025 [URL: https://am.jpmorgan.com/wr/en/asset-management/liq/insights/market-insights/market-updates/on-the-minds-of-investors/investing-principles-steering-the-boat-through-choppy-seas/]